China and India will rebuild the auto industry

China and India could reshape the global auto industry and pose a significant competitive threat in coming years, executives from the world's top carmakers said at the Detroit auto show. "They are a very credible threat and we discount anyone at our peril," John Mendel, vice president in charge of sales at American Honda Motor, said Tuesday. While the globally competitive nature of the automotive industry requires mass economies of scale, the relatively young Chinese and Indian manufacturers are ramping up quickly, Mendel noted. And the Chinese automakers buying brands like Hummer and Volvo are gaining access to a valuable distribution network, critical technology and " instant credibility," he told AFP. India's Tata Motors will take its opening shot at the US market Thursday, when it brings the Nano minicar to the Detroit science center to show Motor City what the world's cheapest car looks like. Build Your Dreams Motor (BYD) brought its four- door electric e6 straight to the floor of the auto show where it vowed Tuesday to become the first Chinese automaker to enter the United States at the end of this year. Meanwhile, both countries are becoming increasingly important markets in the global sales strategy of top automakers with China surpassing the United States in total sales volume last year and Indian sales expected to double by 2016. Toyota's chief of US automotive operations expressed skepticism that either BYD or Tata would make a significant mark here in the short term. "It's not so easy to come walking into a market and develop a product and distribution network," Don Esmond said in an interview on the sidelines of the auto show. "A lot of it's going to depend on who does the best job of listening to the customer and has the ability technically to deliver the product," he said. "Whether it be Toyota, GM, Ford or Chrysler, we have more resources, more manufacturing capacities and more technical development available here so we should be able to deliver a better product." Carlos Tavares, Nissan's executive vice president in charge of the Americas, disagreed. "I think it's a mid-term prospective... not 10 years," he said, noting the success of Korean automakers Hyundai and Kia in breaking into the US market, overcoming quality concerns and becoming major players. Affordability will be a key driver in the industry in the coming years and China and India will offer automakers an important testing ground for pushing the boundaries, Tavares said. "What we can learn from China and from India is not so complex," he said in an interview. "It's about determining the level of quality the consumer expects. It's then about reducing operating costs which will bring you to fuel efficiency." Ford chief executive officer Alan Mulally said that while "China's going to be a force going forward" and India is not too far behind, the real competitive threat could come from unfair trade practices. "We expect the auto world industry to continue to evolve," Mulally told a conference hosted by Automotive News. "There is no reason that if we get to global trade rules that we can't compete with the best of the world."